Sampling bias in the molecular epidemiology of tuberculosis

被引:60
作者
Murray, M [1 ]
机构
[1] Harvard Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Boston, MA 02115 USA
关键词
D O I
10.3201/eid0804.000444
中图分类号
R392 [医学免疫学]; Q939.91 [免疫学];
学科分类号
100102 ;
摘要
Among the goals of the molecular epidemiology of infectious disease are to quantify the extent of ongoing transmission of infectious agents and to identify host- and strain-specific risk factors for disease spread. I demonstrate the potential bias in estimates of recent transmission and the impact of risk factors for clustering by using computer simulations to reconstruct populations of tuberculosis patients and sample from them. The bias consistently results in underestimating recent transmission and the impact of risk factors for recent transmission.
引用
收藏
页码:363 / 369
页数:7
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