Decision making with fuzzy probability assessments

被引:40
作者
Yager, RR [1 ]
机构
[1] Iona Coll, Inst Machine Intelligence, New Rochelle, NY 10801 USA
关键词
decision making; fuzzy probabilities; uncertainty;
D O I
10.1109/91.784209
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
We discuss the idea of a fuzzy probability assessment, the association a collection of fuzzy probabilities with the outcomes of a random experiment, Fuzzy probability assessments often result from the linguistic specification of probabilities as provided by human experts. The question of consistency of the fuzzy probability assessment is considered. Finally, the problem of decision making, selecting a best alternative action, in the face of a fuzzy probability assessment is investigated. Here we locus on the issue of obtaining the expected payoff of alternatives in the face of a fuzzy probability assessment. in the course of solving this problem we develop a representation of an effective probability distribution in the face of a fuzzy probability assessment.
引用
收藏
页码:462 / 467
页数:6
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