Reasons for and consequences of vitamin K antagonist discontinuation in very elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

Background: Anticoagulation in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is still a challenge, and discontinuation of warfarin is common. The aim of this study was to analyze the aspects related to warfarin discontinuation in a real-world population. Methods: This was an observational cohort study on very elderly NVAF patients naive to warfarin therapy (VENPAF). The included subjects were aged at least 80 years, and started using warfarin after a diagnosis of NVAF. Warfarin discontinuation was assessed, and the reason reported for discontinuation, the person who decided to stop treatment, subsequent antithrombotic therapy and mortality, ischemic and bleeding events were collected. Results: Over a period of 5 years, warfarin was discontinued in 148 of 798 patients. Despite similar CHA2DS2-VASc scores, the frequencies of thromboembolic and major bleeding events were significantly higher (P = 0.01 and P = 0.001, respectively) and the time in therapeutic range (TTR) was significantly lower (P < 0.001) in patients who discontinued warfarin. Independent risk factors for warfarin discontinuation were vascular disease (hazard ratio [HR] 2.5, P < 0.001), age >= 85 years (HR 1.4, P = 0.04), TTR < 60% (HR 1.8, P = 0.001), and bleeding events (HR 2.3, P < 0.001). The main reasons for warfarin discontinuation were physician-perceived frailty or low life-expectancy (45.9%), bleeding complications (19.6%), and sinus rhythm restoration (16.9%). Event and death rates were very high, especially in frail patients and in those with bleeding complications. Conclusions: Warfarin discontinuation is frequent in very elderly patients, and is associated with increased risks of death and adverse events. Identification of elderly patients who are at high risk of bleeding and the poor quality of anticoagulation during warfarin are still unsolved clinical problems.