Large Truck-Involved Crashes: Exploratory Injury Severity Analysis

被引:90
作者
Islam, Mouyid [1 ]
Hernandez, Salvador [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Texas El Paso, Dept Civil Engn, El Paso, TX 79968 USA
来源
JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING-ASCE | 2013年 / 139卷 / 06期
关键词
Freight movement; Large trucks; Ordered probit; Random parameter; Safety; Injury severity; ORDERED PROBIT MODELS; DRIVER-INJURY; MIXED LOGIT; PEDESTRIAN CRASHES; TRAFFIC CRASHES; VEHICLE DAMAGE; ACCIDENTS; INTERSECTIONS; COLLISIONS; CHOICE;
D O I
10.1061/(ASCE)TE.1943-5436.0000539
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
In recent years, a growing concern related to large truck accidents has increased owing to the level of injury severity that can be sustained and to the related potential economic impact. Current studies related to large truck-involved crashes are scarce and do not address the human factors that can greatly influence accident outcomes. This study presents an analysis of data from the fusion of several national data sets addressing injury severity related to large truck-involved crashes. This is accomplished by considering human, road environment, and vehicular factors in large truck-involved crashes on U.S. interstates. A random-parameter ordered-probit model was estimated to predict the likelihood of five injury severity outcomes-fatality, incapacitating, nonincapacitating, possible injury, and no injury. The modeling approach accounts for possible unobserved effects relating to human, vehicular, and road environment factors not present in the data. Estimation findings indicate that the level of injury severity is highly influenced by a number of complex interactions between factors, and the effects of some factors can vary across observations. (C) 2013 American Society of Civil Engineers.
引用
收藏
页码:596 / 604
页数:9
相关论文
共 53 条
[2]  
Anastasopoulos P. C., 2009, TRANSPORT RES REC, P11
[3]  
Anastasopoulos P. C., 2009, 88 ANN M TRANSP RES
[4]   A note on modeling vehicle accident frequencies with random-parameters count models [J].
Anastasopoulos, Panagiotis Ch. ;
Mannering, Fred .
ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION, 2009, 41 (01) :153-159
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2011, STAT AN SYST SAS 9 2
[6]  
[Anonymous], HIGHW STAT 2008
[7]   Simulation estimation of mixed discrete choice models using randomized and scrambled Halton sequences [J].
Bhat, CR .
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART B-METHODOLOGICAL, 2003, 37 (09) :837-855
[8]   Quasi-random maximum simulated likelihood estimation of the mixed multinomial logit model [J].
Bhat, CR .
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART B-METHODOLOGICAL, 2001, 35 (07) :677-693
[9]   The impact of environmental, vehicle and driver characteristics on injury severity in older drivers hospitalized as a result of a traffic crash [J].
Boufous, Soufiane ;
Finch, Caroline ;
Hayen, Andrew ;
Williamson, Ann .
JOURNAL OF SAFETY RESEARCH, 2008, 39 (01) :65-72
[10]  
Brownstone D, 1999, J ECONOMETRICS, V89, P109