An optimization model for a crop deficit irrigation system under uncertainty

In this study, an inexact nonlinear programming model under uncertainty is developed by incorporating a water production function into the crop irrigation system optimization framework. By introducing a time parameter, this model can address the uncertainty associated with the irrigation schedule for different crops and their planting stages. The developed model was applied to a case study of an agricultural water resources management problem to demonstrate its applicability. Through scenario analysis under different precipitation levels, the key planting stage of crops and the amount of water for the irrigation schedule that could significantly affect system benefits were identified. By using intervals to represent uncertain parameters, more reliable and practical decision alternatives were generated through the presented model in typical hydrological years (i.e. wet, normal and dry years).