OBJECTIVE-The aim of this study was to determine the natural history of vascular remodeling of atherosclerotic plaques in patients with type 2 diabetes and the predictors of vessel shrinkage. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS-In this serial intracoronary ultrasound (IVUS) study, 237 coronary segments from 45 patients enrolled in the DLABETES I, II, and III trials were included. Quantitative volumetric IVUS analyses (motorized pull-backs at 0.5 mints) were performed in the same coronary segment after the index procedure and at the 9-month follow-up. Nontreated mild lesions (angiographic stenosis < 25%) with >= 0.5 mm plaque thickening and length of >= 5 min assessed by IVUS were included. Vessel shrinkage was defined as a Delta extemal elastic membrane area/Delta plaque area < 0. Statistical adjustment by multiple segments and multiple lesions per patient was performed. RESULTS-Vessel shrinkage was identified in 37.1% of segments and was associated with a significant decrease in lumen area at 9 months (vessel shrinkage, 10 +/- 4 mm(2) vs. non-vessel shrinkage, 11 +/- 4 mm(2); p = 0.04). Independent predictors of vessel shrinkage were insulin requirements (odds ratio 4.6 [95% CI 1.40-15.10]; P = 0.01), glycated hemoglobin (1.5 [1.05-2.10]; P = 0.02), apolipoprotein B (0.96 [0.94-0.98]; P < 0.001), hypertension (3.7 [1.40-10.30]; P = 0.009), number of diseased vessels (5.6 [2.50-12.50]; P < 0.001), and prior revascularization (17.5 [6.50-46.90]; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS-This serial IVUS study suggests that progression of coronary artery disease in patients with type 2 diabetes may be mainly attributed to vessel shrinkage. Besides, vessel shrinkage is influenced by insulin requirements and metabolic control and is associated with more advanced coronary atherosclerosis. Diabetes 58:209-214, 2009