Likelihood ratios for mixed stains when the number of donors cannot be agreed

被引:16
作者
Brenner, CH [1 ]
Fimmers, R [1 ]
Baur, MP [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV BONN,INST MED STAT,D-53127 BONN,GERMANY
关键词
likelihood ratio; mixed stain; DNA;
D O I
10.1007/BF01225523
中图分类号
DF [法律]; D9 [法律]; R [医药、卫生];
学科分类号
0301 ; 10 ;
摘要
Suppose that part of the prosecution's evidence e in some crime case is analysis of a blood stain, and that the traits E discovered in the stain suggest multiple donors. Then the prosecution will probably allege some specific inculpatory hypothesis Ho about the sources of the stain, and P {E \ H-0} can be calculated. It is desirable to use this as the numerator of a likelihood ratio. However, in general the obvious denominator P {E\ similar to H-0} cannot be calculated, so unless the defense is sufficiently obliging as to stipulate to a specific choice among the potentially infinite number of more or less exculpatory alternative hypotheses, the desired likelihood ratio can't be evaluated. We show that nonetheless, in most cases there is an adequate inequality.
引用
收藏
页码:218 / 219
页数:2
相关论文
empty
未找到相关数据