Classical extreme value model and prediction of extreme winds

被引：38

作者：

Galambos, J ^{[1
]}

Macri, N ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Temple Univ, Dept Math 03816, Philadelphia, PA 19122 USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF STRUCTURAL ENGINEERING-ASCE | 1999年 / 125卷 / 07期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9445(1999)125:7(792)

中图分类号：

TU [建筑科学];

学科分类号：

0813 [建筑学];

摘要：

In this note, the propriety of using the Gumbel distribution for modeling of extreme wind speeds as opposed to use of the reverse Weibull distribution is discussed. It is shown that the assumption of bounded wind speeds and the subsequent implementation of the peaks over threshold method for estimating the required parameters from real data lead to contradictions, and that the Gumbel distribution at several sites serves more realistically as a model for the distribution of extreme wind speeds.

引用

页码：792 / 794

页数：3