Earth system models of intermediate complexity: closing the gap in the spectrum of climate system models

被引:356
作者
Claussen, M [1 ]
Mysak, LA
Weaver, AJ
Crucifix, M
Fichefet, T
Loutre, MF
Weber, SL
Alcamo, J
Alexeev, VA
Berger, A
Calov, R
Ganopolski, A
Goosse, H
Lohmann, G
Lunkeit, F
Mokhov, II
Petoukhov, V
Stone, P
Wang, Z
机构
[1] Potsdam Inst Klimafolgenforsch, Potsdam, Germany
[2] Free Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, D-1000 Berlin, Germany
[3] McGill Univ, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Montreal, PQ, Canada
[4] Univ Victoria, Sch Earth & Ocean Sci, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada
[5] Univ Catholique Louvain, Inst Astron & Geophys Georges Lemaitre, Louvain, Belgium
[6] Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst, De Bilt, Netherlands
[7] Univ Kassel, Ctr Environm Syst Res, D-3500 Kassel, Germany
[8] Danish Ctr Earth Syst Sci, Copenhagen, Denmark
[9] Univ Hamburg, Inst Meteorol, D-2000 Hamburg, Germany
[10] Univ Bremen, Dept Geosci, Bremen, Germany
[11] Russian Acad Sci, AM Obukhov Inst Atmospher Phys, Moscow 117901, Russia
[12] MIT, Dept Earth Atmosphere & Planetary Sci, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1007/s00382-001-0200-1
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
We propose a new perspective on the hierarchy of climate models which goes beyond the ''classical'' climate modeling pyramid that is restricted mainly to atmospheric processes, Most notably, we introduce a new indicator, called ''integration'', which characterizes the number of interacting components of the climate system being explicitly described in a model. The location of several model types, from conceptual to comprehensive, is presented in a new spectrum of climate system models. In particular. the location of the Earth system Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMICs) in this spectrum is discussed in some detail and examples are given, which indicate that there is currently a broad range of EMICs in use. In some EMICs, the number of processes and/or the detail of description is reduced for the sake of simulating the feedbacks between as many components of the climate system as feasible. Others, with a lesser degree of interaction, or ''integration'', are used for long-term ensemble simulations to study specific aspects of climate variability. EMICs appear to be closer to comprehensive coupled models of atmospheric and oceanic circulation (CGCMs) than to ''conceptual'' or ''box'' models. We advocate that EMICs be considered as complementary to CGCMs and conceptual models, because we believe that there is an advantage of having a spectrum of climate system models which are designed to tackle specific aspects of climate and which together provide the proper tool for climate system modeling.
引用
收藏
页码:579 / 586
页数:8
相关论文
共 45 条
[1]   Global models meet global policy - How can global and regional modellers connect with environmental policy makers? What has hindered them? What has helped? [J].
Alcamo, J ;
Kreileman, E ;
Leemans, R .
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 1996, 6 (04) :255-259
[2]   MODELING THE GLOBAL SOCIETY-BIOSPHERE-CLIMATE SYSTEM .1. MODEL DESCRIPTION AND TESTING [J].
ALCAMO, J ;
KREILEMAN, GJJ ;
KROL, MS ;
ZUIDEMA, G .
WATER AIR AND SOIL POLLUTION, 1994, 76 (1-2) :1-35
[3]  
[Anonymous], CLIMATE MODELLING PR
[4]  
[Anonymous], 1908, HDB KLIMATOLOGIE
[5]   On the stability of the atmosphere-vegetation system in the Sahara/Sahel region [J].
Brovkin, V ;
Claussen, M ;
Petoukhov, V ;
Ganopolski, A .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 1998, 103 (D24) :31613-31624
[6]   Climate change decision-support and the tolerable windows approach [J].
Bruckner T. ;
Petschel-Held G. ;
Tóth F.L. ;
Füssel H.-M. ;
Helm C. ;
Leimbach M. ;
Schellnhuber H.-J. .
Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 1999, 4 (4) :217-234
[7]  
CLAUSSEN M, 2000, UNDERSTANDING EARTH
[8]   Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model [J].
Cox, PM ;
Betts, RA ;
Jones, CD ;
Spall, SA ;
Totterdell, IJ .
NATURE, 2000, 408 (6809) :184-187
[9]  
CRAMER W, 2000, GLOBAL RESPONSE TERR
[10]  
CRUCIFIX M, 2000, REFERENCE SIMULATION