A process for generating quantitative belief functions

被引:20
作者
Bryson, N
Mobolurin, A
机构
[1] Howard Univ, Sch Business, Dept Informat Syst & Anal, Howard Univ Future Aerosp Sci & Technol Ctr, Washington, DC 20059 USA
[2] Virginia Commonwealth Univ, Sch Business, Richmond, VA 23284 USA
关键词
belief functions; Dempster-Shafer theory; expert systems; decision support systems; vague pairwise comparisons; numeric interval comparisons; qualitative belief comparisons; knowledge acquisition;
D O I
10.1016/S0377-2217(98)00181-7
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
We present a structured methodology for transforming qualitative preference relationships among propositions into appropriate numeric representations. This approach will be useful in the difficult process of knowledge acquisition from experts on the degree of belief in various propositions or the probability of the truthfulness of those propositions. The approach implicitly (through the qualitative assignments) and explicitly (through the vague interval pairwise comparisons) provides for different levels of preference relationships. Among its advantages, it permits the expert to: explore the given problem situation, using linguistic quantifiers; avoid the premature use of numeric measures; and identify input data that are inconsistent with the theory of belief functions. (C) 1999 Published by Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:624 / 633
页数:10
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