Incremental value of biomarkers to clinical variables for mortality prediction in acutely decompensated heart failure: The Multinational Observational Cohort on Acute Heart Failure (MOCA) study

被引:247
作者
Lassus, Johan [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Gayat, Etienne [4 ,5 ]
Mueller, Christian [6 ]
Peacock, W. Frank [7 ]
Spinar, Jindrich [8 ,9 ]
Harjola, Veli-Pekka [1 ,2 ]
van Kimmenade, Roland [10 ]
Pathak, Atul [11 ]
Mueller, Thomas [12 ]
diSomma, Salvatore [13 ]
Metra, Marco [14 ]
Pascual-Figal, Domingo [15 ,16 ,17 ]
Laribi, Said [3 ,18 ]
Logeart, Damien [3 ,19 ]
Nouira, Semir [20 ,21 ]
Sato, Naoki [22 ]
Potocki, Michael [6 ]
Parenica, Jiri [8 ,9 ]
Collet, Corinne [3 ]
Cohen-Solal, Alain [3 ,19 ]
Januzzi, James L., Jr. [23 ]
Mebazaa, Alexandre [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Helsinki, Cent Hosp, Div Emergency Care, FIN-00014 Helsinki, Finland
[2] Univ Helsinki, Cent Hosp, Dept Med, FIN-00014 Helsinki, Finland
[3] Lariboisiere Univ Hosp, INSERM UMR 942, Paris, France
[4] Lariboisiere Univ Hosp, AP HP, Dept Anesthesiol & Crit Care Med, Mobile Care Unit, Paris, France
[5] St Louis Univ Hosp, INSERM UMR 717, Paris, France
[6] Univ Basel Hosp, Dept Internal Med, CH-4031 Basel, Switzerland
[7] Baylor Coll Med, Houston, TX 77030 USA
[8] Univ Hosp Brno, Dept Internal Med & Cardiol, Brno, Czech Republic
[9] Masaryk Univ, Fac Med, Brno, Czech Republic
[10] Univ Med Ctr Utrecht, Dept Cardiol, Utrecht, Netherlands
[11] Toulouse Univ Hosp, Dept Cardiol, Toulouse, France
[12] Konventhosp Barmherzige Brueder, Dept Lab Med, Linz, Austria
[13] Univ Roma La Sapienza, St Andrea Hosp, Emergency Dept, I-00185 Rome, Italy
[14] Univ Brescia, Dept Expt & Appl Med, Brescia, Italy
[15] Virgen Arrixaca Hosp, Serv Cardiol, Murcia, Spain
[16] Univ Murcia, Dept Med, Murcia, Spain
[17] Univ Murcia, Fac Med, Murcia, Spain
[18] Lariboisiere Univ Hosp, AP HP, Dept Emergency Med, Paris, France
[19] Lariboisiere Univ Hosp, AP HP, Dept Cardiol, Paris, France
[20] Fattouma Bourguiba Univ Hosp, Emergency Dept, Monastir, Tunisia
[21] Fattouma Bourguiba Univ Hosp, Res Unit UR06SP21, Monastir, Tunisia
[22] Nippon Med Sch, Musashi Kosugi Hosp, Tokyo 113, Japan
[23] Massachusetts Gen Hosp, Div Cardiol, Boston, MA 02114 USA
关键词
ADHF; Mortality; Risk prediction; Biomarkers; Reclassification; IN-HOSPITAL MORTALITY; NATRIURETIC PEPTIDE; RISK STRATIFICATION; RENAL-FUNCTION; ROC CURVE; NT-PROBNP; DIAGNOSIS; RECLASSIFICATION; GUIDELINES; PROGNOSIS;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijcard.2013.01.228
中图分类号
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号
100201 [内科学];
摘要
Aim: This study aims to evaluate the incremental value of plasma biomarkers to traditional clinical variables for risk stratification of 30-day and one-year mortality in acutely decompensated heart failure (ADHF). Methods and results: Through an international collaborative network, individual patient data on 5306 patients hospitalized for ADHF were collected. The all-cause mortality rate was 11.7% at 30 days and 32.9% at one year. The clinical prediction model (age, gender, blood pressure on admission, estimated glomerular filtration rate <60mL/min/1.73 m(2), sodium and hemoglobin levels, and heart rate) had a c-statistic of 0.74 for 30-day mortality and 0.73 for one-year mortality. Several biomarkers measured at presentation improved risk stratification when added to the clinical model. At 30 days, the net reclassification improvement (NRI) was 28.7% for mid-regional adrenomedullin (MR-proADM; p<0.001) and 25.5% for soluble (s) ST2 (p<.001). At one year, sST2 (NRI 10.3%), MR-proADM (NRI 9.1%), amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP; NRI 9.1%), mid-regional proatrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP; NRI 7.4%), B-type natriuretic peptide (NRI 5.5%) and C-reactive protein (CRP; NRI 5.3%) reclassified patients with ADHF (p<0.05 for all). CRP also markedly improved risk stratification of patients with ADHF as a dual biomarker combination with MR-proADM (NRI 36.8% [p<0.001] for death at 30 days) or with sST2 (NRI 20.3%; [p<0.001] for one-year mortality). Conclusion: In this study, biomarkers provided incremental value for risk stratification of ADHF patients. Biomarkers such as sST2, MR-proADM, natriuretic peptides and CRP, reflecting different pathophysiologic pathways, add prognostic value to clinical risk factors for predicting both short-term and one-year mortality in ADHF. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:2186 / 2194
页数:9
相关论文
共 31 条
[1]
Predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized for heart failure - Insights from the Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients with Heart Failure (OPTIMIZE-HF) [J].
Abraham, William T. ;
Fonarow, Gregg C. ;
Albert, Nancy M. ;
Stough, Wendy Gattis ;
Gheorghiade, Mihai ;
Greenberg, Barry H. ;
O'Connor, Christopher M. ;
Sun, Jie Lena ;
Yancy, Clyde W. ;
Young, James B. .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGY, 2008, 52 (05) :347-356
[2]
Biomarkers in heart failure [J].
Braunwald, Eugene .
NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE, 2008, 358 (20) :2148-2159
[3]
Statistical evaluation of prognostic versus diagnostic models: Beyond the ROC curve [J].
Cook, Nancy R. .
CLINICAL CHEMISTRY, 2008, 54 (01) :17-23
[4]
ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure 2008 [J].
Dickstein, Kenneth ;
Cohen-Solal, Alain ;
Filippatos, Gerasimos ;
McMurray, John J. V. ;
Ponikowski, Piotr ;
Poole-Wilson, Philip Alexander ;
Stromberg, Anna ;
van Veldhuisen, Dirk J. ;
Atar, Dan ;
Hoes, Arno W. ;
Keren, Andre ;
Mebazaa, Alexandre ;
Nieminen, Markku ;
Priori, Silvia Giuliana ;
Swedberg, Karl .
EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL, 2008, 29 (19) :2388-2442
[5]
Evaluation of novel biomarkers for the diagnosis of acute destabilised heart failure in patients with shortness of breath [J].
Dieplinger, B. ;
Gegenhuber, A. ;
Haltmayer, M. ;
Mueller, T. .
HEART, 2009, 95 (18) :1508-1513
[6]
Risk stratification for in-hospital mortality in acutely decompensated heart failure - Classification and regression tree analysis [J].
Fonarow, GC ;
Adams, KF ;
Abraham, WT ;
Yancy, CW ;
Boscardin, WJ .
JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION, 2005, 293 (05) :572-580
[7]
Usefulness of B-type natriuretic peptide and cardiac troponin levels to predict in-hospital mortality from ADHERE [J].
Fonarow, Gregg C. ;
Peacock, William F. ;
Horwich, Tamara B. ;
Phillips, Christopher O. ;
Givertz, Michael M. ;
Lopatin, Margarita ;
Wynne, Janet .
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF CARDIOLOGY, 2008, 101 (02) :231-237
[8]
Characteristics, outcomes, and predictors of mortality at 3 months and 1 year in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure [J].
Harjola, Veli-Pekka ;
Follath, Ferenc ;
Nieminen, Markku S. ;
Brutsaert, Dirk ;
Dickstein, Kenneth ;
Drexler, Helmut ;
Hochadel, Matthias ;
Komajda, Michel ;
Lopez-Sendon, Jose L. ;
Ponikowski, Piotr ;
Tavazzi, Luigi .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF HEART FAILURE, 2010, 12 (03) :239-248
[9]
Hlatky Mark A, 2009, Circulation, V119, P2408, DOI 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.109.192278
[10]
NT-proBNP testing for diagnosis and short-term prognosis in acute destabilized heart failure: an international pooled analysis of 1256 patients [J].
Januzzi, JL ;
van Kimmenade, R ;
Lainchbury, J ;
Bayes-Genis, A ;
Ordonez-Llanos, J ;
Santalo-Bel, M ;
Pinto, YM ;
Richards, M .
EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL, 2006, 27 (03) :330-337