Two specific endothelial cell products, von Willebrand factor and soluble E-selectin, were measured together with serum lipids, lipoprotein(a), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SHP, DBP) in a follow up study of 162 patients attending a dedicated lipid clinic. Patients were further classified by the presence or absence of symptomatic vascular disease and smoking. After a mean of 49 months, 45 patients experienced a cardiovascular event (fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, or arterial surgery) and 11 developed non-cardiovascular diseases, including cancer. In univariate analysis, existing vascular disease (P < 0.01), increased levels of von Willebrand factor (P < 0.0001) and low density lipoprotein cholesterol (P < 0.02), greater age (P < 0.01), and lower levels of soluble E-selectin (P < 0.03) were all predictive of future vascular events. However, in multivariate analysis, only increased von Willebrand factor was predictive (P < 0.001). von Willebrand factor was also higher in patients who developed non-cardiovascular disease relative to those free of disease (P < 0.05). Our data support the hypothesis that increased levels of von Willebrand factor are an indicator of poor prognosis in patients with atherosclerosis or its risk factors. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science Ireland Ltd.