Time series-based bifurcation diagram reconstruction

We consider the problem of reconstructing bifurcation diagrams (BDs) of maps using time series. This study goes along the same line of ideas presented by Tokunaga et al. [Physica D 79 (1994) 348] and Tokuda et al. [Physica D 95 (1996) 380]. The aim is to reconstruct the ED of a dynamical system without the knowledge of its functional form and its dependence on the parameters. Instead, time series at different parameter values, assumed to be available, are used. A three-layer fully-connected neural network is employed in the approximation of the map. The task of the network is to learn the dynamics of the system as function of the parameters from the available time series. We determine a class of maps for which one can always find a linear subspace in the weight space of the network where the network's bifurcation structure is qualitatively the same as the bifurcation structure of the map. We discuss a scheme in locating this subspace using the time series. We further discuss how to recognize time series generated by this class of maps. Finally, we propose an algorithm in reconstructing the BDs of this class of maps using predictor functions obtained by neural network. This algorithm is flexible so that other classes of predictors, apart from neural networks, can be used in the reconstruction. (C)1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.