Predicting quarantine failure rates

被引：3

作者：

Day, T ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Queens Univ, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada

来源：

EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES | 2004年 / 10卷 / 03期

关键词：

D O I：

10.3201/eid1003.030502

中图分类号：

R392 [医学免疫学]; Q939.91 [免疫学];

学科分类号：

100102 ;

摘要：

Preemptive quarantine through contact-tracing effectively controls emerging infectious diseases. Occasionally this quarantine fails, however, and infected persons are released. The probability of quarantine failure is typically estimated from disease-specific data. Here a simple, exact estimate of the failure rate is derived that does not depend on disease-specific parameters. This estimate is universally applicable to all infectious diseases.

引用

页码：487 / 488

页数：2