Examination of structurally dynamic eutrophication model

被引:49
作者
Zhang, JJ [1 ]
Jorgensen, SE [1 ]
Mahler, H [1 ]
机构
[1] DFH, Inst A, DK-2100 Copenhagen O, Denmark
关键词
structurally dynamic model; pamolare; two-layer model; calibration; validation; prognosis;
D O I
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2003.09.021
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
An ecological modelling software, named Pamolare, for planning and management of lakes and reservoirs was developed by Jorgensen et al., 2003 [PAMOLARE Training Package, Planning and Management of Lakes and Reservoirs: Models for Eutrophication Management, UNEP_DTIE_IETC and ILEC, 1091 Oroshimo-cho, Kusatsu, Shiga, 525-0001, Japan, 2003]. The software has four eutrophication models including application of structurally dynamic models. We tested two models in the Pamolare program using data from Lake Glumso, Denmark: one year for calibration, one year for validation and three years for a prognosis validation. Compared with observations, the simulations by the structurally dynamic approach yielded satisfactory results over all five years, whilst the two-layer model with trial and error approach in Pamolare did not give acceptable results. We also compared the results with that of two previously developed models, specifically designed for Lake Glumso. We concluded that the structurally dynamic model from Pamolare in the Lake Glumso case gave better results than the two-layer model included in Pamolare, and yielded equally good results as the two-eutrophication models specifically developed for Lake Glumso. Furthermore, the model was far less time consuming to calibrate than the three other models, due to an automatic calibration procedure. (C) 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:313 / 333
页数:21
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