Agricultural productivity growth and escape from the Malthusian trap

被引:92
作者
Kögel, T [1 ]
Prskawetz, A [1 ]
机构
[1] Max Planck Demog Res, D-18057 Rostock, Germany
关键词
fertility choice; economic growth; Malthusian trap; technological change;
D O I
10.1023/A:1012742531003
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Industrialization allowed the industrialized world of today to escape from the Malthusian regime characterized by low economic and population growth and to enter the post-Malthusian regime of high economic and population growth. To explain the transition between these regimes, we construct a growth model with two consumption goods (an agricultural and a manufacturing good), endogenous fertility, and endogenous technological progress in the manufacturing sector. We show that with an exogenous increase in the growth of agricultural productivity our model is able to replicate stylized facts of the British industrial revolution. The paper concludes by illustrating that our proposed model framework can be extended to include the demographic transition, i.e., a regime in which economic growth is associated with falling fertility.
引用
收藏
页码:337 / 357
页数:21
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