Reconstructing the glacier contribution to sea-level rise back to 1850

被引:38
作者
Oerlemans, J. [1 ]
Dyurgerov, M. [2 ]
de Wal, R. S. W. van [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Utrecht, Inst Marine & Atmospher Res, NL-3584 CC Utrecht, Netherlands
[2] Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Quaternary Geol, S-10654 Stockholm, Sweden
关键词
D O I
10.5194/tc-1-59-2007
中图分类号
P9 [自然地理学];
学科分类号
0705 ; 070501 ;
摘要
We present a method to estimate the glacier contribution to sea-level rise from glacier length records. These records form the only direct evidence of glacier changes prior to 1946, when the first continuous mass-balance observations began. A globally representative length signal is calculated from 197 length records from all continents by normalisation and averaging of 14 different regions. Next, the resulting signal is calibrated with mass-balance observations for the period 1961-2000. We find that the glacier contribution to sea level rise was 5.5 +/- 1.0 cm during the period 1850-2000 and 4.5 +/- 0.7 cm during the period 1900-2000.
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页码:59 / 65
页数:7
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