Handling forecasting problems based on two-factors high-order fuzzy time series

被引:159
作者
Lee, Li-Wei
Wang, Li-Hui
Chen, Shyi-Ming [1 ]
Leu, Yung-Ho
机构
[1] Natl Taiwan Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Comp Sci & Informat Engn, Taipei 106, Taiwan
[2] Chihlee Inst Technol, Dept Finance, Banciao City, Taipei County, Taiwan
[3] Natl Taiwan Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Informat Management, Taipei 106, Taiwan
关键词
fuzzy sets; fuzzy time series; max-min compdsition operations; two-factors high-order fuzzy logical relationships; two-factors high-order fuzzy time series;
D O I
10.1109/TFUZZ.2006.876367
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 [模式识别与智能系统]; 0812 [计算机科学与技术]; 0835 [软件工程]; 1405 [智能科学与技术];
摘要
In our daily life, people often use forecasting techniques to predict weather, economy, population growth, stock, etc. However, in the real world, an event can be affected by many factors. Therefore, if we consider more factors for prediction, then we can get better forecasting results. In recent years, many researchers used fuzzy time series to handle prediction problems. In this paper, we present a new method to predict temperature and the Taiwan Futures Exchange (TAIFEX), based on the two-factors high-order fuzzy time series. The proposed method constructs two-factors high-order fuzzy logical relationships based on the historical data to increase the forecasting accuracy rate. The proposed method gets a higher forecasting accuracy rate than the existing methods.
引用
收藏
页码:468 / 477
页数:10
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