Framing effects in choices between multioutcome life-expectancy lotteries

被引:15
作者
Bernstein, LM [1 ]
Chapman, GB [1 ]
Elstein, AS [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Illinois, Coll Med, Dept Med Educ, Chicago, IL USA
关键词
life expectancy; multioutcome lotteries; framing effects; preference reversal; segregated and integrated editing; prospect theory; utility functions;
D O I
10.1177/0272989X9901900311
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Aim. To explore framing or editing effects and a method to debias framing in a clinical context. Method. Clinical scenarios using multioutcome life-expectancy lotteries of equal value required choice's between two supplementary drugs that either prolonged or shortened life from the 20-year beneficial effect of a baseline drug. The effects of these supplementary drugs were presented in two conditions, using a between-subjects design. In segregated editing (n = 116) the effects were presented separately from the effects of the baseline drug. In integrated editing (n = 100), effects of supplementary and baseline drugs were combined in the lottery presentation. Each subject responded to 30 problems. To explore one method of debiasing, another 100 subjects made choices after viewing both segregated and integrated editings of 20 problems. (dual framing). Results. Statistically significant preference reversals between segregated and integrated editing of pure lotteries occurred only when one framing placed outcomes in the gain domain, and the other framing placed them in the loss domain. When both editings resulted in gain-domain outcomes only, there was no framing effect. There was a related relationship of framing-effect shifts from losses to gains in. mixed-lottery-choice problems. Responses to the dual framing condition did not consistently coincide with responses to either single framing. In some situations, dual framing eliminated or lessened framing effects. Conclusion. The results support two components of prospect theory, coding outcomes as gains or losses from a reference point, and an s-shaped utility function (concave in gain, convex in loss domains). Presenting both alternative editings of a complex situation prior to choice mote fully informs the decision maker and may help to reduce framing effects. Given the extent to which preferences shift in response to alternative presentations, it is unclear which choice represents the subject's "true preferences."
引用
收藏
页码:324 / 338
页数:15
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