Commentaries on "The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis" by Rowe and Wright

被引：17

作者：

Ayton, P

Ferrell, WR

Stewart, TR

机构：

[1] City Univ London, Dept Psychol, London EC1V 0HB, England

[2] Univ Arizona, Dept Syst & Ind Engn, Coll Engn & Mines, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA

[3] SUNY Albany, Nelson A Rockeffeller Coll Publ Affairs & Policy, Ctr Policy Res, Albany, NY 12222 USA

来源：

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING | 1999年 / 15卷 / 04期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/S0169-2070(99)00013-8

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

引用

页码：377 / 381

页数：5

共 17 条

[1]

BALTHAZARD P, 1997, GROUP DECIS NEGOT, V7, P347

[2]

Brunswik Egon., 1956, Perception and the Representative Design of Psychological Experiments

[3]

FERRELL WR, 1990, ROBOTICS CONTROL SOC, P202

[4] Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality [J].

Gigerenzer, G ;

Goldstein, DG .

PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, 1996, 103 (04) :650-669

[5]

Hammond K.R., 1996, HUMAN JUDGMENT SOCIA

[6] Taking advice: Accepting help, improving judgment, and sharing responsibility [J].

Harvey, N ;

Fischer, I .

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES, 1997, 70 (02) :117-133

[7] WHY ARE JUDGMENTS LESS CONSISTENT IN LESS PREDICTABLE TASK SITUATIONS [J].

HARVEY, N .

ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES, 1995, 63 (03) :247-263

[8]

HARVEY N, 1998, UNPUB COMBINING FORE

[9]

Lewin K., 1936, DYNAMIC THEORY PERS

[10]

Lichtenstein S., 1982, Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, P306

← 1 2 →