Simulating arctic climate warmth and icefield retreat in the last interglaciation

被引:768
作者
Otto-Bliesner, BL
Marsha, SJ
Overpeck, JT
Miller, GH
Hu, AX
机构
[1] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Climate & Global Dynam Div, Boulder, CO 80305 USA
[2] Univ Calgary, Dept Geog, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada
[3] Univ Arizona, Dept Geosci, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
[4] Univ Arizona, Dept Atmospher Sci, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
[5] Univ Colorado, Inst Arctic & Alpine Res, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
[6] Univ Colorado, Dept Geol Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.1120808
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
In the future, Arctic warming and the melting of polar glaciers will be considerable, but the magnitude of both is uncertain. We used a global climate model, a dynamic ice sheet model, and paleoclimatic data to evaluate Northern Hemisphere high-latitude warming and its impact on Arctic icefields during the Last Interglaciation. Our simulated climate matches paleoclimatic observations of past warming, and the combination of physically based climate and ice-sheet modeling with ice-core constraints indicate that the Greenland Ice Sheet and other circum-Arctic ice fields likely contributed 2.2 to 3.4 meters of sea-level rise during the Last Interglaciation.
引用
收藏
页码:1751 / 1753
页数:3
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