The impact of volcanic eruptions in the period 2000-2013 on global mean temperature trends evaluated in the HadGEM2-ES climate model

被引：57

作者：

Haywood, Jim M. ^{[1
,2
]}

Jones, Andy ^{[1
]}

Jones, Gareth S. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Met Off, Hadley Ctr, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England

[2] Univ Exeter, CEMPS, XCS, Exeter, Devon, England

来源：

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS | 2014年 / 15卷 / 02期

关键词：

stratospheric aerosol; volcanic eruptions; climate; global warming; CMIP5;

D O I：

10.1002/asl2.471

中图分类号：

P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];

学科分类号：

0708 ; 070902 ;

摘要：

The slow-down in global warming over the last decade has lead to significant debate about whether the causes are of natural or anthropogenic origin. Using an ensemble of HadGEM2-ES coupled climate model simulations we investigate the impact of overlooked modest volcanic eruptions. We deduce a global mean cooling of around -0.02 to -0.03K over the period 2008-2012. Thus while these eruptions do cause a cooling of the Earth and may therefore contribute to the slow-down in global warming, they do not appear to be the sole or primary cause.

引用

页码：92 / 96

页数：5

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