The value of travel information: Decision strategy-specific conceptualizations and numerical examples

被引:49
作者
Chorus, CG
Arentze, TA
Molin, EJE
Timmermans, HJP
Van Wee, B
机构
[1] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Technol Policy & Management, NL-2600 GA Delft, Netherlands
[2] Eindhoven Univ Technol, Fac Architecture, NL-5600 MB Eindhoven, Netherlands
关键词
information value; search theory; Bayesian updating; satisficing; maximizing;
D O I
10.1016/j.trb.2005.08.002
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Behavioral models of the perceived value of travel information are developed that take into account satisficing as well as maximizing behavior, and are suitable for the evaluation of information acquisition for alternative generation as well as assessment. This is done by integrating notions of search theory and Bayesian perception updating into a utilitarian framework of information value. In order to clarify the important mechanisms behind these formulations, and provide some first face validity to the applied approaches, numerical examples are developed that simulate the value of information for different knowledge levels of the individual, and for different levels of reliability of the information service. The examples indeed provide preliminary confidence, as occurring trends appear to be consistent with intuition and empirical literature. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:504 / 519
页数:16
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