Forecasting enrollments using high-order fuzzy time series and genetic algorithms

被引:182
作者
Chen, SM [1 ]
Chung, NY [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Taiwan Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Comp Sci & Informat Engn, Taipei, Taiwan
关键词
D O I
10.1002/int.20145
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In recent years, many researchers have presented different forecasting methods to deal with forecasting problems based oil fuzzy time series. When we deal with forecasting problems using fuzzy time series, it is important to decide the length of each interval in the universe of discourse due to the fact that it will affect the forecasting accuracy rate. In this article, we present a new method to deal with the forecasting problems based on high-order fuzzy time series and genetic algorithms, where the length of each interval in the universe of discourse is tuned by using genetic algorithms, and the historical enrollments of the University of Alabama are used to illustrate the forecasting process of the proposed method. The proposed method call achieve a higher forecasting accuracy rate than the existing methods. (c) 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
引用
收藏
页码:485 / 501
页数:17
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