Why Are So Many Epidemiology Associations Inflated or Wrong? Does Poorly Conducted Animal Research Suggest Implausible Hypotheses?

被引:18
作者
Bracken, Michael B. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Yale Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, New Haven, CT 06520 USA
[2] Yale Univ, Sch Med, New Haven, CT USA
关键词
Animal Studies; Bias; Epidemiology Methods; Randomized Trials; Research Synthesis; Systematic Reviews; RANDOMIZED-TRIALS; SYSTEMATIC REVIEWS; PUBLICATION BIAS; BISPHENOL-A; METAANALYSIS; DRUGS; MODEL; HUMANS; RISK; MICE;
D O I
10.1016/j.annepidem.2008.11.006
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
There is growing concerti among epidemiologists that most discovered associations are either inflated or false. The reasons for this concern have focused on methodological issues in the conduct and publication of epidemiologic research. This commentary suggests that,mother reason for discrepant findings may be that animal research is producing implausible hypotheses. Many animal Studies are methodologically weak, and the animal literature is not systematically reviewed and synthesized. Moreover, most bodies of animal literature may be so heterogeneous that they can be used selectively to support the plausibility of almost any epidemiology Study result. Epidemiologists themselves also do not consistently conduct systematic reviews of bodies of biological evidence which might point to sources of bias in an evidence base. Animal research will likely continue to provide the biological basis for epidemiological investigation, but substantial improvement is needed in how it is conducted and synthesized to improve the predictability of animal studies for the human condition.
引用
收藏
页码:220 / 224
页数:5
相关论文
共 58 条
[1]  
*AM COUNC SCI HLTH, 2006, AM WAR CARC REASS US
[2]  
Bebarta V, 2003, ACAD EMERG MED, V10, P684, DOI 10.1111/j.1553-2712.2003.tb00056.x
[3]   Statin use and the risk of prostate cancer: A metaanalysis of 6 randomized clinical trials and 13 observational studies [J].
Bonovas, Stefanos ;
Filioussi, Kalitsa ;
Sitaras, Nikolaus M. .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER, 2008, 123 (04) :899-904
[4]  
Bracken MB, 1998, ANN EPIDEMIOL, V8, P79
[5]  
BRACKEN MB, 2008, FUNDAMENTALS MOL EPI, P225
[6]  
BRODIE BB, 1962, CLIN PHARMACOL THER, V3, P374
[7]   Empirical evidence for selective reporting of outcomes in randomized trials -: Comparison of Protocols to published articles [J].
Chan, AW ;
Hróbjartsson, A ;
Haahr, MT ;
Gotzsche, PC ;
Altman, DG .
JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION, 2004, 291 (20) :2457-2465
[8]  
Corpet DE, 2003, CANCER EPIDEM BIOMAR, V12, P391
[9]   How good are rodent models of carcinogenesis in predicting efficacy in humans? A systematic review and meta-analysis of colon chemoprevention in rats, mice and men [J].
Corpet, DE ;
Pierre, F .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CANCER, 2005, 41 (13) :1911-1922
[10]   Energy restriction and the risk of spontaneous mammary tumors in mice: A meta-analysis [J].
Dirx, MJM ;
Zeegers, MPA ;
Dagnelie, PC ;
van den Bogaard, T ;
van den Brandt, PA .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER, 2003, 106 (05) :766-770