Health spending projections through 2015: Changes on the horizon

被引:99
作者
Borger, C [1 ]
Smith, S [1 ]
Truffer, C [1 ]
Keehan, S [1 ]
Sisko, A [1 ]
Poisal, J [1 ]
Clemens, MK [1 ]
机构
[1] Ctr Medicare & Medicaid Serv, Off Actuary, Natl Hlth Stat Grp, Baltimore, MD USA
关键词
D O I
10.1377/hlthaff.25.w61
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Growth in national health spending is projected to slow in 2005 to 7.4 percent, from a peak of 9.1 percent in 2002. Private health insurance premiums are projected to slow to 6.6 percent in 2005, with a rebound expected in 2007. The introduction of Medicare Part D drug coverage in 2006 produces a dramatic shift in spending across payers but has little net effect on aggregate spending growth. Health spending is expected to consistently outpace gross domestic product (GDP) over the coming decade, accounting for 20 percent of GDP by 2015.
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页码:W61 / W73
页数:13
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