A generalized spin model of financial markets

被引:125
作者
Chowdhury, D [1 ]
Stauffer, D [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cologne, Inst Theoret Phys, D-50923 Cologne, Germany
关键词
D O I
10.1007/s100510050714
中图分类号
O469 [凝聚态物理学];
学科分类号
070205 ;
摘要
We reformulate the Cont-Bouchaud model of financial markets in terms of classical "super-spins" where the spin value is a measure of the number of individual traders represented by a portfolio manager of an investment agency. We then extend this simplified model by switching on interactions among the super-spins to model the tendency of agencies getting influenced by the opinion of other managers. We also introduce a fictitious temperature (to model other random influences), and time-dependent local fields to model a slowly changing optimistic or pessimistic bias of traders. We point out close similarities between the price variations in our model with AT super-spins and total displacements in an N-step Levy flight. We demonstrate the phenomena of natural and artificially created bubbles and subsequent crashes as well as the occurrence of "fat tails" in the distributions of stock price variations.
引用
收藏
页码:477 / 482
页数:6
相关论文
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