Borehole temperatures and a baseline for 20th-century global warming estimates

被引:79
作者
Harris, RN
Chapman, DS
机构
[1] Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.275.5306.1618
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Lack of a 19th-century baseline temperature against which 20th-century warming can be referenced constitutes a deficiency in understanding recent climate change. Combination of borehole temperature profiles, which contain a memory of surface temperature changes in previous centuries, with the meteorological archive of surface air temperatures can provide a 19th-century baseline temperature tied to the current observational record. A test case in Utah, where boreholes are interspersed with meteorological stations belonging to the Historical Climatological Network, yields a noise reduction in estimates of 20th-century warming and a baseline temperature that is 0.6 degrees +/- 0.1 degrees C below the 1951 to 1970 mean temperature for the region.
引用
收藏
页码:1618 / 1621
页数:4
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