Impacts of considering electric sector variability and reliability in the MESSAGE model

被引:79
作者
Sullivan, Patrick [1 ]
Krey, Volker [2 ]
Riahi, Keywan [2 ]
机构
[1] Natl Renewable Energy Lab, Golden, CO 80401 USA
[2] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria
关键词
Variable renewable technologies; Electric sector reliability; Grid integration; Optimization model; SCENARIOS; MITIGATION; ENERGY;
D O I
10.1016/j.esr.2013.01.001
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
This paper introduces a methodology for incorporating metrics for electric-sector reliability into a global Integrated Assessment Model. Using load, resource availability, and system dispatch data with high temporal resolution, we designed a set of reduced-form constraints that guide investment and usage decisions among power plants in IIASA's MESSAGE model. The analysis examines how such reliability metrics impact modeled system build-out, including in scenarios with greenhouse gas (GHG) limits. Scenarios show how carefully chosen model constraints can allow a flexible approach to treating integrations concerns of variable renewable technologies into the electric sector in a high-level energy model. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:157 / 163
页数:7
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