From statistics to statistical science

被引:32
作者
Nelder, JA [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Math, London SW7 2BZ, ON, England
关键词
combination of information; experimental cycle; fiducial inference; hierarchical generalized linear model; mathematical statistics; multiple-comparison test; p-value culture; statistical science; statistical software;
D O I
10.1111/1467-9884.00187
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
It is asserted that statistics must be relevant to making inferences in science and technology. The subject should be renamed statistical science and be focused on the experimental cycle, design-execute-analyse-predict. Its part in each component of the cycle is discussed. The P-value culture is claimed to be the main prop of non-scientific statistics, leading to the cult of the single study and the proliferation of multiple-comparison tests. The malign influence of P-values on protocols for the analysis of groups of experiments is discussed, and also the consequences of the formation of inferentially uninteresting linear models. Suggestions for action by statisticians include the sorting out of modes of inference, the removal of non-scientific procedures, the offering of help to editors, the promotion of good software and teaching methods built round the experimental cycle.
引用
收藏
页码:257 / 267
页数:11
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