Probabilistic approaches to population forecasting

被引：56

作者：

Lee, RD ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Calif Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

来源：

POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT REVIEW | 1998年 / 24卷

关键词：

D O I：

10.2307/2808055

中图分类号：

C921 [人口统计学];

学科分类号：

摘要：

引用

页码：156 / 190

页数：35

共 40 条

[1] THE MAGNITUDE OF ERROR DUE TO DIFFERENT VITAL PROCESSES IN POPULATION FORECASTS [J].

ALHO, JM .

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1992, 8 (03) :301-314

[2] ERROR MODELS FOR OFFICIAL MORTALITY FORECASTS [J].

ALHO, JM ;

SPENCER, BD .

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1990, 85 (411) :609-616

[3] UNCERTAIN POPULATION FORECASTING [J].

ALHO, JM ;

SPENCER, BD .

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1985, 80 (390) :306-314

[4] STOCHASTIC METHODS IN POPULATION FORECASTING [J].

ALHO, JM .

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1990, 6 (04) :521-530

[5] Scenarios, uncertainty and conditional forecasts of the world population [J].

Alho, JM .

JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY, 1997, 160 :71-85

[6]

BAUER D, 1997, UNPUB VARIANCES POPU

[7]

*C BUDG OFF US, 1996, EC BUDG OUTL FISC YE

[8] JOINT FORECASTS OF UNITED-STATES MARITAL FERTILITY, NUPTIALITY, BIRTHS, AND MARRIAGES USING TIME-SERIES MODELS [J].

CARTER, LR ;

LEE, RD .

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1986, 81 (396) :902-911

[9]

Coale AJ, 1983, REGIONAL MODEL LIFE

[10] POPULATION FORECASTS AND CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS FOR SWEDEN - A COMPARISON OF MODEL-BASED AND EMPIRICAL APPROACHES [J].

COHEN, JE .

DEMOGRAPHY, 1986, 23 (01) :105-126

← 1 2 3 4 →