机构:
Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Finance, NYU Stern Sch Business, La Jolla, CA 92093 USAUniv Calif San Diego, Dept Finance, NYU Stern Sch Business, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Engle, Robert F.
[1
]
Patton, Andrew J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Finance, NYU Stern Sch Business, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Patton, Andrew J.
机构:
[1] Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Finance, NYU Stern Sch Business, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
A volatility model must be able to forecast volatility; this is the central requirement in almost all financial applications. In this paper we outline some stylized facts about volatility that should be incorporated in a model: pronounced persistence and mean-reversion, asymmetry such that the sign of an innovation also affects volatility and the possibility of exogenous or pre-determined variables influencing volatility. We use data on the Dow Jones Industrial Index to illustrate these stylized facts, and the ability of GARCH-type models to capture these features. We conclude with some challenges for future research in this area.