EMVI-positive stage II rectal cancer has similar clinical outcomes as stage III disease following pre-operative chemoradiotherapy

Stage II rectal cancer comprises a heterogeneous group of tumours with variable survival outcomes depending on tumour characteristics. Extramural venous invasion (EMVI) is a known poor prognostic factor which leads to increased rates of disease recurrence in rectal cancer. The presence of EMVI in stage II disease confers a similar risk of disease recurrence as stage III tumours.Stage II rectal cancers comprise a heterogeneous group, and there is significant variability in practise with regards to adjuvant chemotherapy; the survival benefit of chemotherapy is perceived to be < 4% in these patients. However, in recent years, the emergence of additional prognostic factors such as extramural venous invasion (EMVI) suggests that there may be sub-stratification of stage II tumours and, further, we may be under-estimating the benefit adjuvant chemotherapy provides in high-risk patients. This study examined the outcomes of patients with stage II and III rectal cancer to determine whether EMVI status influences disease-free survival (DFS). An analysis of a prospectively maintained database was conducted of patients presenting with rectal cancer between 2006 and 2012. All patients underwent curative surgery and had no evidence of metastases at presentation. Clinicopathological factors were compared between stage II and III disease. The primary end point was 3-year DFS; univariate and multivariate analysis was carried out using Cox proportional hazards regression models; hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Four hundred and seventy-eight patients were included: 233 stage II; 245 stage III. The prevalence of EMVI was 34.9%; 57 stage II patients (24.5%) and 110 stage III patients (44.9%). On multivariate analysis, only EMVI status was a significant factor for DFS. The adjusted HR for EMVI either alone or in combination with nodal involvement was 2.08 (95% CI 1.10-2.95) and 2.74 (95% CI 1.66-4.52), respectively. EMVI is an independently poor prognostic factor for DFS for both stage II and stage III rectal cancer. These results demonstrate that there is risk-stratification within stage II tumours which affects prognosis. When discussing the use of adjuvant chemotherapy with patients that have EMVI-positive stage II tumours, these results provide evidence for a similarly increased risk of distant failure as stage III disease without venous invasion.