Historical evidence for energy efficiency rebound in 30 US sectors and a toolkit for rebound analysts

被引：128

作者：

Saunders, Harry D. ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Breakthrough Inst, Danville, CA 94506 USA

[2] Decis Proc Inc, Danville, CA 94506 USA

来源：

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE | 2013年 / 80卷 / 07期

关键词：

Rebound; Climate change; Translog function; Technology gains; Energy efficiency; IPCC; FALLACIES; CONSUMPTION; DEMAND; IMPACT; ELASTICITIES; BACKFIRE; VIEW;

D O I：

10.1016/j.techfore.2012.12.007

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

This article presents a detailed econometric analysis of historical energy efficiency rebound magnitudes in the US economy by sector and in aggregate. The results strongly suggest that energy consumption forecasts that ignore rebound effects will systematically and significantly understate energy consumption. Accompanying this article is a toolkit that allows any analyst to conduct a comparable analysis for any country, or sector, for which the data are available. (C) 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：1317 / 1330

页数：14

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