Safe Dike Heights at Minimal Costs: The Nonhomogeneous Case

被引:33
作者
Brekelmans, Ruud [1 ]
den Hertog, Dick [1 ]
Roos, Kees [2 ]
Eijgenraam, Carel [3 ]
机构
[1] Tilburg Univ, Dept Econometr & Operat Res, CentER, NL-5000 LE Tilburg, Netherlands
[2] Delft Univ Technol, NL-2600 AA Delft, Netherlands
[3] CPB Netherlands Bur Econ Policy Anal, NL-2508 The Haag, Netherlands
关键词
Cost-benefit analysis; Flood prevention; MINLP; Robust optimization;
D O I
10.1287/opre.1110.1028
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Dike height optimization is of major importance to the Netherlands because a large part of the country lies below sea level, and high water levels in rivers can cause floods. Recently impovements have been made on the cost-benefit model introduced by van Dantzig after the devastating flood in the Netherlands in 1953. We consider the extension of this model to nonhomogeneous dike rings, which may also be applicable to other deltas in the world. A nonhomogeneous dike ring consists of different segments with different characteristics with respect to flooding and investment costs. The individual segments can be heightened independently at different moments in time and by different amounts, making the problem considerably more complex than the homogeneous case. We show how the problem can be modeled as a mixed-integer nonlinear programming problem, and we present an iterative algorithm that can be used to solve the problem. Moreover, we consider a robust optimization approach to deal with uncertainty in the model parameters. The method has been implemented and integrated in software, which is used by the government to determine how the safety standards in the Dutch Water Act should be changed. Subject classifications: flood prevention; MINLP; cost-benefit analysis; robust optimization. Area of review: Special Issue on OR for the Public Interest-Security and Critical Infrastructure. History: Received September 2010; revisions received April 2011, June 2011; accepted August 2011. Published online in Articles in Advance November 20, 2012.
引用
收藏
页码:1342 / 1355
页数:14
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