Can Google Trends search queries contribute to risk diversification?

被引:70
作者
Kristoufek, Ladislav [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Charles Univ Prague, Fac Social Sci, Inst Econ Studies, Prague 11000, Czech Republic
[2] Acad Sci Czech Republ, Inst Informat Theory & Automat, CR-18208 Prague, Czech Republic
来源
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS | 2013年 / 3卷
关键词
FINANCIAL-MARKETS; BEHAVIOR; PRICES;
D O I
10.1038/srep02713
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Portfolio diversification and active risk management are essential parts of financial analysis which became even more crucial (and questioned) during and after the years of the Global Financial Crisis. We propose a novel approach to portfolio diversification using the information of searched items on Google Trends. The diversification is based on an idea that popularity of a stock measured by search queries is correlated with the stock riskiness. We penalize the popular stocks by assigning them lower portfolio weights and we bring forward the less popular, or peripheral, stocks to decrease the total riskiness of the portfolio. Our results indicate that such strategy dominates both the benchmark index and the uniformly weighted portfolio both in-sample and out-of-sample.
引用
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页数:5
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