Pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy with trastuzumab predicts for improved survival in women with HER2-overexpressing breast cancer

We sought to determine the prognostic value of pathologic response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy with concurrent trastuzumab. Two hundred and twenty-nine women with HER2/neu (HER2)-overexpressing breast cancer were treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus trastuzumab between 2001 and 2008. Patients were grouped based on pathologic complete response (pCR, n = 114) or less than pCR (< pCR, n = 115); as well as by pathologic stage. Locoregional recurrence-free (LRFS), distant metastasis-free (DMFS), recurrence-free (RFS), and overall survival (OS) rates were compared. The median follow-up was 63 (range 53-77) months. There was no difference in clinical stage between patients with pCR or < pCR. Compared with patients achieving < pCR, those with the pCR had higher 5-year rates of LRFS (100% versus 95%, P = 0.011), DMFS (96% versus 80%, P < 0.001), RFS (96% versus 79%, P < 0.001), and OS (95% versus 84%, P = 0.006). Improvements in RFS and OS were seen with decreasing post-treatment stage. Failure to achieve a pCR was the strongest independent predictor of recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] = 4.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.67-10.04, P = 0.002) and death (HR = 4.15, 95% CI: 1.39-12.38, P = 0.011). pCR and lower pathologic stage after neoadjuvant chemotherapy with trastuzumab are the strongest predictors of recurrence and survival and are surrogates of the long-term outcome in patients with HER2-overexpressing disease.