Weathering climate change: some simple rules to guide adaptation decisions

被引:272
作者
Fankhauser, S
Smith, JB
Tol, RSJ
机构
[1] Free Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands
[2] Hagler Bailly Serv Inc, Boulder, CO USA
[3] World Bank, Washington, DC 20433 USA
关键词
climate change adaptation;
D O I
10.1016/S0921-8009(98)00117-7
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
This paper discusses some of the elements that may characterise an efficient strategy to adapt to a changing climate. Such a strategy will have to reflect the long time horizon of, and the prevailing uncertainties about, climate change. An intuitively appealing approach therefore seems to be to enhance the flexibility and resilience of systems to react to and cope with climate shocks and extremes, as well as to improve information. In addition, in the case of quasi-irreversible investments with a long lifetime (e.g. infrastructure investments, development of coastal zones) precautionary adjustments may be called for to increase the robustness of structures, or to increase the rate of depreciation to allow for earlier replacement. Many of these measures may already have to be considered now, and could be worthwhile in their own right, independent of climate change considerations. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:67 / 78
页数:12
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