Technology diffusion: analysing the diffusion of agent technologies

被引:10
作者
McKean, Jez [2 ]
Shorter, Hayden [3 ]
Luck, Michael [1 ]
McBurney, Peter [4 ]
Willmott, Steven [5 ]
机构
[1] Kings Coll London, Dept Comp Sci, Strand, London WC2R 2LS, England
[2] Jazzle, Liverpool L15 1ET, Merseyside, England
[3] Aepona Ltd, Belfast BT15 1AQ, Antrim, North Ireland
[4] Univ Liverpool, Dept Comp Sci, Liverpool L69 7ZF, Merseyside, England
[5] Univ Politecn Cataluna, Dept Llenguatges & Sistemes Informat, ES-08034 Barcelona, Spain
关键词
agents; multi-agent systems; simulation models; technology diffusion;
D O I
10.1007/s10458-008-9052-y
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Despite several examples of deployed agent systems, there remain barriers to the large-scale adoption of agent technologies. In order to understand these barriers, this paper considers aspects of marketing theory which deal with diffusion of innovations and their relevance to the agents domain and the current state of diffusion of agent technologies. In particular, the paper examines the role of standards in the adoption of new technologies, describes the agent standards landscape, and compares the development and diffusion of agent technologies with that of object-oriented programming. The paper also reports on a simulation model developed in order to consider different trajectories for the adoption of agent technologies, with trajectories based on various assumptions regarding industry structure and the existence of competing technology standards. We present details of the simulation model and its assumptions, along with the results of the simulation exercises.
引用
收藏
页码:372 / 396
页数:25
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