Prediction of spontaneous preterm birth by fetal fibronectin and uterine activity

Objective: To evaluate the usefulness of fetal fibronectin and home uterine contraction assessment in predicting preterm birth (before 34 weeks) in at-risk asymptomatic women. Methods: One hundred fifty women were enrolled prospectively; five were lost to follow-up, leaving 145 women available for analysis. Because patients with preterm labor before 34 weeks' gestation most commonly develop this problem after 28 weeks, the period of 26-28 weeks' gestation was selected prospectively as the first window for prediction and study analysis. Eighty-five of 145 asymptomatic women at high risk for preterm birth had both home uterine contraction assessment of 2 hours per day and one or more cervical sampling(s) for fetal fibronectin measurement at 26-28 weeks. A positive home uterine contraction assessment was defined as contractions exceeding two per hour averaged over the 2-week study interval. Positive fetal fibronectin was defined as greater than 50 ng/mL. Results: Fourteen of the 85 women (16.5%) delivered before 34 weeks. Home uterine contraction assessment alone had a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for preterm birth of 64, 85, 45, and 92%, respectively; fetal fibronectin alone was associated with values of 43, 89, 43, and 89%, respectively. A positive home uterine contraction assessment was associated with a relative risk (RR) for preterm birth of 5.9 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.4-14.2), whereas a positive fetal fibronectin demonstrated an RR of 3.8 (95% CI 1.5-9.4). When both assessments were positive, all patients delivered before 34 weeks and there was an RR of 27.0 (95% CI 8.7-84.1) compared with those with both tests being negative. Only two patients with both tests negative delivered before 34 weeks (negative predictive value 96%). Conclusion: Both the home uterine contraction assessment and fetal fibronectin accurately predicted preterm birth before 34 weeks. When both tests were combined, the predictive ability improved substantially.