Post-processing techniques for the joint CEC/USNRC uncertainty analysis of accident consequence codes

被引:5
作者
Kraan, B
Cooke, R
机构
[1] Dept. of Mathematics and Informatics, Delft University of Technology, Delft
关键词
uncertainty analysis; expert judgment; accident consequence models;
D O I
10.1080/00949659708811810
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
A summary description of the Joint CEC/USNRC uncertainty analysis of accident consequence models for nuclear power plants is given. The problem of post processing is introduced as the problem of projecting a joint distribution over observable variables onto the parameter space of a mathematical model. A conditional sampling algorithm is presented which works in simple cases. For more complex cases, two approaches are described and results are compared.
引用
收藏
页码:243 / 259
页数:17
相关论文
共 9 条
[1]  
Cooke R., 1991, EXPERTS UNCERTAINTY
[2]  
COOKE R, 1994, 15855 EUR EN
[3]   PARAMETER FITTING FOR UNCERTAIN MODELS - MODELING UNCERTAINTY IN SMALL MODELS [J].
COOKE, RM .
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 1994, 44 (01) :89-102
[4]  
*DIR GEN SCI RES D, COSYMA NEW PROGR PAC
[5]  
FRENCH S, 1992, BAYESIAN STAT, V4, P617
[6]  
HARPER F, 1994, SUMMARY OBJECTIVES A, V3
[7]  
HORA S, 1989, NUCL SCI ENG, P102
[8]  
JANSEN B, 1995, THESIS DELFT U TECHN
[9]  
KULLBACK S, 1959, INFORMATION THEORY S