Cholera and climate: revisiting the quantitative evidence

被引:191
作者
Pascual, M
Bouma, MJ
Dobson, AP
机构
[1] Univ Michigan, Dept Ecol & Evolut Biol, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
[2] Univ London London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Epidemiol & Populat Sci, London WC1E 7HT, England
[3] Princeton Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
基金
美国国家航空航天局; 美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
cholera dynamics; climate variability; quantitative evidence; mathematical models;
D O I
10.1016/S1286-4579(01)01533-7
中图分类号
R392 [医学免疫学]; Q939.91 [免疫学];
学科分类号
100102 ;
摘要
Cholera dynamics in endemic regions display regular seasonal cycles and pronounced interannual variability. We review here the current quantitative evidence for the influence of climate on cholera dynamics with reference to the early literature on the subject. We also briefly review the incipient status of mathematical models for cholera and argue that these models are important for understanding climatic influences in the context of the population dynamics of the disease. A better understanding of disease risk related to the environment should further underscore the need for changing the socioeconomic conditions conducive to cholera. (C) 2002 Editions scientifiques et medicales Elsevier SAS. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:237 / 245
页数:9
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