The scaling law relating world point-precipitation records to duration

被引:19
作者
Galmarini, S
Steyn, DG [1 ]
Ainslie, B
机构
[1] Univ British Columbia, Dept Earth & Ocean Sci, Atmospher Sci Programme, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada
[2] Inst Environm & Sustainabil, Joint Res Ctr, Ispra, VA, Italy
关键词
precipitation; records; scaling law; statistics;
D O I
10.1002/joc.1022
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
In order to understand the remarkable six-orders of magnitude scaling law underlying worldwide point-precipitation records, we analyse precipitation data from a wide range of stations worldwide. The analysis shows that single-exponent scaling laws exist only for single stations experiencing extremely high precipitation. This analysis, and a consideration of the sequence of earlier published precipitation records, leads us to conclude that record precipitation exists because of an optimization of all factors leading to precipitation. This idea is incorporated into a scheme for simulating the record-duration curve for precipitation, which utilizes only the probability distribution function for precipitation amounts, the temporal autocorrelation of precipitation and a starting record-duration point. The simulation suggests record precipitation is asymptotically independent of most underlying physical processes. Copyright (C) 2004 Royal Meteorological Society.
引用
收藏
页码:533 / 546
页数:14
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