Comparison of equilibrium and transient responses to CO2 increase in eight state-of-the-art climate models

被引:22
作者
Yokohata, Tokuta [1 ]
Emori, Seita [1 ,2 ,4 ]
Nozawa, Toru [1 ]
Ogura, Tomoo [1 ]
Kawamiya, Michio [2 ]
Tsushima, Yoko [2 ]
Suzuki, Tatsuo [2 ]
Yukimoto, Seiji [3 ]
Abe-Ouchi, Ayako [2 ,4 ]
Hasumi, Hiroyasu [4 ]
Sumi, Akimasa [5 ]
Kimoto, Masahide [4 ]
机构
[1] Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
[2] Frontier Res Ctr Global Change, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
[3] Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305, Japan
[4] Univ Tokyo, Ctr Climate Syst Res, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan
[5] Transdisciplinary Initiat Global Sustainabil, Tokyo, Japan
关键词
D O I
10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00345.x
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
We compared the climate response of doubled CO2 equilibrium experiments ( 2 x CO2) by atmosphere-slab ocean coupled general circulation models ( ASGCMs) and that of 1% per year CO2 increase experiments ( 1% CO2 by atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation models (AOGCMs) using eight state-of-the-art climate models. Climate feedback processes in 2 x CO2 are different from those in 1% CO2, and the equilibrium climate sensitivity (T-2x) in 2 x CO2 is different from the effective climate sensitivity (T-2x,(eff)) in 1% CO2. The difference between T-2x and T-2x,T-eff is from - 1.3 to 1.6 K, a large part of which can be explained by the difference in the ice-albedo and cloud feedback. The largest contribution is cloud SW feedback, and the difference in cloud SW feedback for 2 x CO2 and 1% CO2 could be determined by the distribution of the SAT anomaly which causes differences in the atmospheric thermal structure. An important factor which determines the difference in ice-albedo feedback is the initial sea ice distribution at the Southern Ocean, which is generally overestimated in 2 x CO2 as compared to 1%CO2 and observation. Through the comparison of climate feedback processes in 2 x CO2 and 1%CO2, the possible behaviour of the time evolution of T-2x,T-eff is discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:946 / 961
页数:16
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