Characteristics of rear-end accidents at signalized intersections using multiple logistic regression model

被引:174
作者
Yan, XD
Radwan, E
Abdel-Aty, M
机构
[1] Univ Cent Florida, Coll Engn, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Orlando, FL 32826 USA
[2] Univ Cent Florida, Ctr Adv Transportat Syst Simulat, Orlando, FL 32816 USA
[3] Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Orlando, FL 32816 USA
关键词
rear-end accidents; signalized intersections; quasi-induced exposure; multiple logistic regression; striking role; struck role;
D O I
10.1016/j.aap.2005.05.001
中图分类号
TB18 [人体工程学];
学科分类号
1201 ;
摘要
Multi-vehicle rear-end accidents constitute a substantial portion of the accidents occurring at signalized intersections. To examine the accident characteristics, this study utilized the 2001 Florida traffic accident data to investigate the accident propensity for different vehicle roles (striking or struck) that are involved in the accidents and identify the significant risk factors related to the traffic environment, the driver characteristics, and the vehicle types. The Quasi-induced exposure concept and the multiple logistic regression technique are used to perform this analysis. The results showed that seven road environment factors (number of lanes, divided/undivided highway, accident time, road surface condition, highway character, urban/rural, and speed limit), five factors related to striking role (vehicle type, driver age, alcohol/drug use, driver residence, and gender), and four factors related to struck role (vehicle type, driver age, driver residence, and gender) are significantly associated with the risk of rear-end accidents. Furthermore, the logistic regression technique confirmed several significant interaction effects between those risk factors. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:983 / 995
页数:13
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