Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change

被引：230

作者：

Bell, Johann D. ^{[1
]}

Ganachaud, Alexandre ^{[2
,3
]}

Gehrke, Peter C. ^{[4
]}

Griffiths, Shane P. ^{[5
]}

Hobday, Alistair J. ^{[6
]}

Hoegh-Guldberg, Ove ^{[7
]}

Johnson, Johanna E. ^{[8
,9
]}

Le Borgne, Robert ^{[2
]}

Lehodey, Patrick ^{[10
]}

Lough, Janice M. ^{[11
]}

Matear, Richard J. ^{[6
]}

Pickering, Timothy D. ^{[12
]}

Pratchett, Morgan S. ^{[13
]}

Sen Gupta, Alex ^{[14
]}

Senina, Inna ^{[10
]}

Waycott, Michelle ^{[15
,16
]}

机构：

[1] Secretariat Pacific Community, Fisheries Aquaculture & Marine Ecosyst Div, Noumea 98848, New Caledonia

[2] Inst Rech Dev, Noumea 98848, New Caledonia

[3] UPS OMP PCA, UMR5566, Lab Etud Geophys & Oceanog Spatiales, F-31400 Toulouse, France

[4] SMEC Australia Pty Ltd, South Brisbane, Qld 4101, Australia

[5] CSIRO Marine & Atmospher Res, Climate Adaptat Flagship, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia

[6] CSIRO Marine & Atmospher Res, Climate Adaptat Flagship, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia

[7] Univ Queensland, Global Change Inst, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia

[8] C2O Consulting, Coffs Harbour, NSW 2450, Australia

[9] So Cross Univ, Sch Environm Sci & Technol, Coffs Harbour, NSW 2450, Australia

[10] Collecte Localisat Satellites, F-31526 Ramonville St Agne, France

[11] Australian Inst Marine Sci, Townsville, Qld 4810, Australia

[12] Secretariat Pacific Community, Fisheries Aquaculture & Marine Ecosyst Div, Suva, Fiji

[13] James Cook Univ, ARC Ctr Excellence Coral Reef Studies, Townsville, Qld 4811, Australia

[14] Univ New S Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia

[15] Univ Adelaide, Sch Earth & Environm Sci, Adelaide, SA 5001, Australia

[16] State Herbarium South Australia, Kent Town, SA 5071, Australia

来源：

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE | 2013年 / 3卷 / 06期

关键词：

OCEAN ACIDIFICATION; FOOD SECURITY; IMPACT; FISH; TUNA;

D O I：

10.1038/NCLIMATE1838

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Pacific Island countries have an extraordinary dependence on fisheries and aquaculture. Maintaining the benefits from the sector is a difficult task, now made more complex by climate change. Here we report how changes to the atmosphere-ocean are likely to affect the food webs, habitats and stocks underpinning fisheries and aquaculture across the region. We found winners and losers-tuna are expected to be more abundant in the east and freshwater aquaculture and fisheries are likely to be more productive. Conversely, coral reef fisheries could decrease by 20% by 2050 and coastal aquaculture may be less efficient. We demonstrate how the economic and social implications can be addressed within the sector-tuna and freshwater aquaculture can help support growing populations as coral reefs, coastal fisheries and mariculture decline.

引用

页码：591 / 599

页数：9

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