Clinical value of left atrial appendage flow for prediction of long-term sinus rhythm maintenance in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVES This study evaluated the role of various clinical and echo cardiographic parameters, including the left atrial appendage (LAA) anterograde flow velocity, for prediction of the long-term preservation of sinus rhythm (SR) in patients with successful cardioversion (CV) of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). BACKGROUND Echocardiographic parameters for assessing long-term SR maintenance after successful CV of nonvalvular AF are not accurately defined. METHODS Clinical, transthoracic echo cardiographic and transesophageal echo cardiographic (TEE) data-measured in AF lasting >48 h-of 186 consecutive patients (116 men, mean age: 65 9 years) with successful CV (electrical or pharmacologic) were analyzed for assessment of one-year maintenance of SR. RESULTS At one-year follow-up, 91 of 186 (49%) patients who underwent successful CV continued to have SR. Mean LAA peak emptying flow velocity was higher in patients remaining in SR for one year than in those with AF relapse (41.7 +/- 20.2 cm/s vs. 27.7 +/- 17.0 cm/s; p < 0.001). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, only the mean LAA peak emptying velocity >40 cm/s (p = 0.0001; chi(2): 23.9, odds ratio [OR] = 5.2, confidence interval [CI] 95% = 2.7 to 10.1) and the use of preventive antiarrhythmic drug treatment (p = 0.0398; chi(2): 4.2; OR = 2.0, CI 95% = 1.0 to 3.8) predicted the continuous preservation of SR during one year, outperforming other univariate predictors such as absence of left atrial spontaneous echocardiographic contrast during TEE, the left atrial parasternal diameter <44 mm, left ventricular ejection fraction >46% and AF duration <1 week before CV. The negative and positive predictive values of the mean LAA peak emptying velocity >40 cm/s for assessing preservation of SR were 66% (CI 95% = 56.9 to 74.2) and 73% (CI 95% = 62.4 to 83.3), respectively, CONCLUSIONS In TEE-guided management of nonvalvular AF, high LAA flow velocity identifies patients with greater likelihood to remain in SR for one year after successful CV. Low LAA velocity is of limited value in identifying patients who will relapse into AF. (C) 2002 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation.