Modelling representation errors of atmospheric CO2 mixing ratios at a regional scale

被引:34
作者
Tolk, L. F. [1 ]
Meesters, A. G. C. A. [1 ]
Dolman, A. J. [1 ]
Peters, W. [2 ]
机构
[1] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
[2] Univ Wageningen & Res Ctr, Wageningen, Netherlands
关键词
D O I
10.5194/acp-8-6587-2008
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Inverse modelling of carbon sources and sinks requires an accurate quality estimate of the modelling framework to obtain a realistic estimate of the inferred fluxes and their uncertainties. So-called "representation errors" result from our inability to correctly represent point observations with simulated average values of model grid cells. They may add substantial uncertainty to the interpretation of atmospheric CO2 mixing ratio data. We simulated detailed variations in the CO2 mixing ratios with a high resolution (2 km) mesoscale model (RAMS) to estimate the representation errors introduced at larger model grid sizes of 10-100 km. We found that meteorology is the main driver of representation errors in our study causing spatial and temporal variations in the error estimate. Within the nocturnal boundary layer, the representation errors are relatively large and mainly caused by unresolved topography at lower model resolutions. During the day, convective structures, mesoscale circulations, and surface CO2 flux variability were found to be the main sources of representation errors. Interpreting observations near a mesoscale circulation as representative for air with the correct footprint relative to the front can reduce the representation error substantially. The remaining representation error is 0.5-1.5 ppm at 20-100 km resolution.
引用
收藏
页码:6587 / 6596
页数:10
相关论文
共 44 条
[1]   Mesoscale covariance of transport and CO2 fluxes:: Evidence from observations and simulations using the WRF-VPRM coupled atmosphere-biosphere model [J].
Ahmadov, R. ;
Gerbig, C. ;
Kretschmer, R. ;
Koerner, S. ;
Neininger, B. ;
Dolman, A. J. ;
Sarrat, C. .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2007, 112 (D22)
[2]  
ARAUJO AC, 2008, ECOL APPL IN PRESS
[3]   Horizontal and vertical CO2 advection in a sloping forest [J].
Aubinet, M ;
Heinesch, B ;
Yernaux, M .
BOUNDARY-LAYER METEOROLOGY, 2003, 108 (03) :397-417
[4]   TransCom 3 inversion intercomparison:: Impact of transport model errors on the interannual variability of regional CO2 fluxes, 1988-2003 -: art. no. GB1002 [J].
Baker, DF ;
Law, RM ;
Gurney, KR ;
Rayner, P ;
Peylin, P ;
Denning, AS ;
Bousquet, P ;
Bruhwiler, L ;
Chen, YH ;
Ciais, P ;
Fung, IY ;
Heimann, M ;
John, J ;
Maki, T ;
Maksyutov, S ;
Masarie, K ;
Prather, M ;
Pak, B ;
Taguchi, S ;
Zhu, Z .
GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES, 2006, 20 (01)
[5]   Inverse modeling of annual atmospheric CO2 sources and sinks 1.: Method and control inversion [J].
Bousquet, P ;
Ciais, P ;
Peylin, P ;
Ramonet, M ;
Monfray, P .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 1999, 104 (D21) :26161-26178
[6]  
CAROUGE C, 2006, THESIS
[7]   Possible representation errors in inversions of satellite CO2 retrievals [J].
Corbin, Katherine D. ;
Denning, A. Scott ;
Lu, Lixin ;
Wang, Jih-Wang ;
Baker, Ian T. .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2008, 113 (D2)
[8]  
Denning AS, 2003, GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL, V9, P1241, DOI 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00613.x
[9]   Simulations of terrestrial carbon metabolism and atmospheric CO2 in a general circulation model .2. Simulated CO2 concentrations [J].
Denning, AS ;
Randall, DA ;
Collatz, GJ ;
Sellers, PJ .
TELLUS SERIES B-CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL METEOROLOGY, 1996, 48 (04) :543-567
[10]   The CarboEurope regional experiment strategy [J].
Dolman, A. J. ;
Noilhan, J. ;
Durand, P. ;
Sarrat, C. ;
Brut, A. ;
Piguet, B. ;
Butet, A. ;
Jarosz, N. ;
Brunet, Y. ;
Loustau, D. ;
Lamaud, E. ;
Tolk, L. ;
Ronda, R. ;
Miglietta, F. ;
Gioli, B. ;
Magliulo, V. ;
Esposito, M. ;
Gerbig, C. ;
Korner, S. ;
Glademard, R. ;
Ramonet, M. ;
Ciais, P. ;
Neininger, B. ;
Hutjes, R. W. A. ;
Elbers, J. A. ;
Macatangay, R. ;
Schrems, O. ;
Perez-Landa, G. ;
Sanz, M. J. ;
Scholz, Y. ;
Facon, G. ;
Ceschia, E. ;
Beziat, P. .
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2006, 87 (10) :1367-+