Spatiotemporal traffic-flow dependency and short-term traffic forecasting

被引:41
作者
Yue, Yang [1 ]
Yeh, Anthony Gar-On [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Hong Kong, Ctr Urban Planning & Environm Management, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
关键词
D O I
10.1068/b33090
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Short-term traffic forecasting is playing an increasing role in modern transport management. Although many short-term traffic forecasting methods have been explored, the spatiotemporal dependency of traffic flow. an important characteristic of traffic dynamics that can benefit the forecasting of traffic changes, is often neglected in short-term traffic forecasting. This paper first investigates the spatiotemporal dependency of traffic flow using cross-correlation analysis and then discusses its implications in terms of traffic forecastability and real-time data effectiveness. This can help us to understand traffic flow, and hence improve the performance of forecasting models.
引用
收藏
页码:762 / 771
页数:10
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