Summer precipitation in the Vosges-Black Forest-region: pre-COPS investigations

被引：1

作者：

Argence, S. ^{[1
,2
]}

Richard, E. ^{[1
,2
]}

Lambert, D. ^{[1
,2
]}

Arbogast, P. ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Toulouse, Lab Aerol, Toulouse, France

[2] CNRS, Toulouse, France

[3] Meteo France, Toulouse, France

来源：

METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS | 2009年 / 103卷 / 1-4期

关键词：

PREDICTABILITY; SIMULATION; SYSTEM; MODEL;

D O I：

10.1007/s00703-008-0328-1

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

As a preliminary investigation for the COPS experiment, a series of 10 rainy days from summer 2006 was studied with the Meso-NH model, run at very high-resolution (2 km), initialized and forced with the ECMWF and ARPEGE analyses. In most cases, the results were not very sensitive to the type of analysis and the model succeeded reasonably well in reproducing the observed precipitation. In the few cases for which the sensitivity to the analysis was significant, the model performance was quite poor. It seems that a discrepancy between the ECMWF- and ARPEGE-driven simulations could be an indicator of low predictability. Furthermore, model skill appears weaker for the precipitation occurring over the Black Forest than for the precipitation affecting the Vosges.

引用

页码：105 / 113

页数：9

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